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Logging is a False Solution to Wildfire and Community Safety

The Forest Service and timber industry are using fear of fire to log in the backcountry. Logging and thinning in the back country is ineffective and diverts resources away from actual home protection, which must be focused immediately adjacent to individual structures in order to protect them. Creating defensible space within 100-200 feet of individual homes can more effectively protect homes from fires, even when they are more intense.

Logging in the backcountry will not make communities safer.
Working near communities, home hardening, and emergency preparedness are far more effective strategies for keeping homes and communities safe
(Calkin et al. 2023; Cohen 2000; Gibbons et al. 2012; Syphard et al. 2014).

The primary threat to homes is from grassfires, not forest fires.
Most homes that burned in the US in recent years were destroyed by grass and shrub fire, not by forest fires (Radeloff et al. 2023). This highlights the realities of climate-driven wildfire and lack of efficacy in logging to control fire behavior. Reporting from CNN about the study notes:“Over the last three decades, the number of US homes destroyed by wildfire has more than doubled as fires burn bigger and badder, a recent study found. Most of those homes were burned not by forest fires, but by fires racing through grass and shrubs.”… “The West is most at risk, the study found, where more than two-thirds of the homes burned over the last 30 years were located. Of those, nearly 80% were burned in grass and shrub fires.”

Most homes are burned by large, fast moving fires.
Fast-moving wildfires comprise less than 3% of all U.S. fire events– but they account for 89% of all structures damaged or destroyed. Fires move fastest in ecosystems that have low wind friction due to sparse or absent tree cover, which is associated with a dominance of grasses. Firefighters quickly become overwhelmed by fast-moving fires (Balch et al. 2024).

Large, fast-moving wildfires are primarily driven by climate.
Large, fast moving fires are primarily driven by drought, heat, and wind– not by “fuels”. In addition, climate change is increasing the frequency and severity of wildfires, as well as the amount of area burned. (Abatzoglou & Koldon 2013; Abatzoglou & Williams 2016; Abatzoglou et al 2021; Balch et al. 2024; Jain et al. 2022; Keeley & Syphard 2019; Keyser & Westerling 2017; Kirchmeyer-Young et al. 2019; Littell et al. 2009; Miller et al. 2012).

The majority of fire ignitions that cross jurisdictional boundaries start on private lands, not public lands.
The
Oregon State University Newsroom discussed the Downing et al. 2022 study: “The study area covered almost 141 million acres across 11 states and included 74 national forests”… “Of all ignitions that crossed jurisdictional boundaries, a little more than 60% originated on private property, and 28% ignited on national forests. Most of the fires started due to human activity.”

Extensive road networks create vulnerability to human-caused fire starts in virtually every corner of National Forest lands. This example is a map of existing roads on the Malheur National Forest. Data source: US Forest Service Geodata Clearinghouse https://data.fs.usda.gov/geodata/edw/datasets.php

Most fires are started by human activity.
The
Balch et al. 2017 study found that “[h]uman-started wildfires accounted for 84% of all wildfires, tripled the length of the fire season, dominated an area seven times greater than that affected by lighting fires, and were responsible for nearly half of all area burned”. Furthermore, increasing road access– which is an essential part of logging– will further put large swaths of forests at risk for the most common fire ignitions– human-caused fire starts.

Deer in the Pomeroy post-fire sale (Umatilla NF)

Protecting forests from logging does not increase their fire risk.
Protected forests do not burn more severely or with greater frequency compared to logged forests (Bradley et al. 2016; Odion & Hanson 2008). In fact, logging may increase fire intensity and risk (Cruz et al. 2014; Evers et al. 2022; Zald and Dunn 2018). For example, logged forests become more susceptible to solar radiation, winds, and drying– thus becoming more flammable after logging in many situations (Achat et al. 2015; Countryman 1956; Leismeister et al. 2021; Platt et al. 2006; Summary of the Sierra Nevada Ecosystem Project Report 1996). Heavy, industrial logging results in homogenous forests can increase fire risk and burn more severely (Zald & Dunn. 2018). In addition, there is a very short window of time that “treatments” are ostensibly effective, usually ~10-15 years (Rhodes and Baker 2008). The authors found that “treated” (logged) areas have a vanishingly small chance of encountering a wildfire during that 10-15 year window of time.

Recent logging in the Camp Lick sale (Malheur National Forest). This unit was designated as “Stand Improvement Commercial Thinning” by the Forest Service.

Logging increases carbon emissions compared to unlogged forests, and compared to wildfire.
Forests store vast amounts of carbon, and are a key part of the climate solution if they are left unlogged. Pacific Northwest forests alone hold live tree biomass equivalent or larger than tropical forests (Law and Waring, 2015). Conversely, logging is a major source of carbon emissions (Hudiburg et al. 2018, Law et al. 2018), greater by far than CO2 emissions from wildfires (Bartowitz et al. 2022), and represents the majority of emissions from US forests (Harris et al, 2016; Campbell et al. 2011). Logging is the largest source of carbon emissions in Oregon (Law and Harmon 2018). Additionally, intensive biomass logging– which is becoming increasingly widespread in the US with industry plans for expansion–  could constitute an important source of carbon transfer from forests to the atmosphere (Achat et al. 2015). Increasing emissions intensifies climate change, and further exacerbates wildfires and the negative effects of climate change to ecosystems.

Large snag (standing dead tree) with evidence of woodpecker forage in the Pomeroy post-fire logging sale. Snags provide crucial wildlife habitat for numerous species, and are at a historic deficit across much of the region.

Citations

Abatzoglou John T., Kolden Crystal A. (2013) Relationships between climate and macroscale area burned in the western United States. International Journal of Wildland Fire 22, 1003-1020.

Abatzoglou, J. and Williams, A. (2016). Impact of anthropogenic climate change on wildfire across western US forests. PNAS https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1607171113.

Abatzoglou, J.T., Battisti, D.S., Williams, A.P. et al. Projected increases in western US forest fire despite growing fuel constraints. Commun Earth Environ 2, 227 (2021). https://doi.org/10.1038/s43247-021-00299-0.

Achat, D., Fortin, M., Landmann, G. et al. Forest soil carbon is threatened by intensive biomass harvesting. Sci Rep 5, 15991 (2015). https://doi.org/10.1038/srep15991

Balch JK, Bradley BA, Abatzoglou JT, Nagy RC, Fusco EJ, Mahood AL. Human-started wildfires expand the fire niche across the United States. Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A. 2017 Mar 14;114(11):2946-2951. doi: 10.1073/pnas.1617394114. Epub 2017 Feb 27. PMID: 28242690; PMCID: PMC5358354.

Balch, J.K., et al. 2024. The fastest-growing and most destructive fires in the U.S. (2001-2020). Science 386: 425-431.

Bartowitz, K.J., et al. 2022. Forest Carbon Emission Sources Are Not Equal: Putting Fire, Harvest, and Fossil Fuel Emissions in Context. Front. For. Glob. Change 5: Article 867112.

Bradley, C. M., C. T. Hanson, and D. A. DellaSala. 2016. Does increased forest protection correspond to higher fire severity in frequent-fire forests of the western United States? Ecosphere 7(10):e01492. 10.1002/ecs2.1492

Calkin, D.E., Barrett, K., Cohen, J.D., Finney, M.A., Pyne, S.J., and Quarles, S.L. 2023. Wildland-urban fire disasters aren’t actually a wildfire problem. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America. 120: e2315797120.

Cohen, J.D. (U.S. Forest Service). 2000. Preventing disaster: home ignitability in the wildland-urban interface. Journal of Forestry 98: 15-21.

Countryman, C.M. (U.S. Forest Service). 1956. Old-growth conversion also converts fire climate. Fire Control Notes 17: 15-19.

Cruz, M.G., M.E. Alexander, and J.E. Dam. 2014. Using modeled surface and crown fire behavior characteristics to evaluate fuel treatment effectiveness: a caution. Forest Science 60: 1000-1004.

Cruz, M.G., M.E. Alexander, and P.A.M. Fernandes. 2008. Development of a model system to predict wildfire behavior in pine plantations. Australian Forestry 71: 113-121.

Downing, W.M., Dunn, C.J., Thompson, M.P. et al. 2022. Human ignitions on private lands drive USFS cross-boundary wildfire transmission and community impacts in the western US. Sci Rep 12, 2624 (2022). https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-022-06002-3

Evers, C., et al. 2022. Extreme Winds Alter Influence of Fuels and Topography on Megafire Burn Severity in Seasonal Temperate Rainforests under Record Fuel Aridity. Fire 5: Article 41.

Gibbons P, van Bommel L, Gill MA, Cary GJ, Driscoll DA, Bradstock RA, Knight E, Moritz MA, Stephens SL, Lindenmayer DB. 2012. Land management practices associated with house loss in wildfires. PLoS ONE 7: Article e29212.

Hanson Chad T., Odion Dennis C. (2014) Is fire severity increasing in the Sierra Nevada, California, USA?. International Journal of Wildland Fire 23, 1-8.

Harris, N.L., Hagen, S.C., Saatchi, S.S. et al. 2016. Attribution of net carbon change by disturbance type across forest lands of the conterminous United States. Carbon Balance Manage 11, 24 (2016). https://doi.org/10.1186/s13021-016-0066-5

Hudiburg TW, Luyssaert S, Thornton PE, Law BE. Interactive effects of environmental change and management strategies on regional forest carbon emissions. Environ Sci Technol. 2013 Nov 19;47(22):13132-40. doi: 10.1021/es402903u. Epub 2013 Oct 30. PMID: 24138534.

Jain, P., Castellanos-Acuna, D., Coogan, S.C.P. et al. Observed increases in extreme fire weather driven by atmospheric humidity and temperature. Nat. Clim. Chang. 12, 63–70 (2022). https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-021-01224-1

Keeley, J.E., Syphard, A.D. Twenty-first century California, USA, wildfires: fuel-dominated vs. wind-dominated fires. fire ecol 15, 24 (2019). https://doi.org/10.1186/s42408-019-0041-0

Keyser, A. and Westerling, A. (2017). Climate drives inter-annual variability in probability of high severity fire occurrence in the western United States.  Environ. Res. Lett. 12 065003.

Kirchmeier-Young MC, Gillett NP, Zwiers FW, Cannon AJ, Anslow FS. Attribution of the Influence of Human-Induced Climate Change on an Extreme Fire Season. Earths Future. 2019 Jan;7(1):2-10. doi: 10.1029/2018EF001050. Epub 2019 Jan 8. PMID: 35860503; PMCID: PMC9285568.

Law, B.E. and R.H. Waring (2015) Carbon implications of current and future effects of drought, fire and management on Pacific Northwest forests. Forest Ecology and Management 355: 4-14. dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.foreco.2014.11.023.

Law, B. E., & Harmon, M. E. (2011). Forest sector carbon management, measurement and verification, and discussion of policy related to climate change. Carbon Management, 2(1), 73–84. https://doi.org/10.4155/cmt.10.40.

Lesmeister, D.B., et al. (co-authored by U.S. Forest Service). 2021. Northern spotted owl nesting forests as fire refugia: a 30-year synthesis of large wildfires. Fire Ecology 17: Article 32.

Littell, J.S., McKenzie, D., Peterson, D.L. and Westerling, A.L. (2009), Climate and wildfire area burned in western U.S. ecoprovinces, 1916–2003. Ecological Applications, 19: 1003-1021. https://doi.org/10.1890/07-1183.1

Lundeberg, S. 2022. OSU Newsroom: OSU research suggests Forest Service lands not the main source of wildfires affecting communities. Accessed at: https://news.oregonstate.edu/news/osu-research-suggests-forest-service-lands-not-main-source-wildfires-affecting-communities#:~:text=The%20study%20area%20covered%20almost,28%25%20ignited%20on%20national%20forests.

Platt, R. V., Veblen, T. T., & Sherriff, R. L. (2006). Are Wildfire Mitigation and Restoration of Historic Forest Structure Compatible? A Spatial Modeling Assessment. Annals of the Association of American Geographers, 96(3), 455–470. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1467-8306.2006.00700.x

Radeloff, V.; Mockrin, M.; Helmers, D.; Carlson, A.; Hawbaker, T.; Martinuzzi, S.; Schut, F.; Alexandre, P.; Kramer, H.; Pidgeon, A. 2023. Rising wildfire risk to houses in the United States, especially in grasslands and shrublands. Science, 9 Nov. 2023, Vol. 382, Issue 6677, pp. 702-707. DOI: 10.1126/science.ade9223

​​Rhodes, Jonathan & Baker, William. (2008). Fire Probability, Fuel Treatment Effectiveness and Ecological Tradeoffs in Western U.S. Public Forests. The Open Forest Science Journal. 1. 10.2174/1874398600801010001.

Summary of the Sierra Nevada Ecosystem Project Report (Davis: University of California, Centers for Water and Wildland Resources, 1996).

Syphard, A.D., T.J. Brennan, and J.E. Keeley. 2014. The role of defensible space for residential structure protection during wildfires. Intl. J. Wildland Fire 23: 1165-1175.

Zald HSJ, Dunn CJ. Severe fire weather and intensive forest management increase fire severity in a multi-ownership landscape. Ecol Appl. 2018 Jun;28(4):1068-1080. doi: 10.1002/eap.1710. Epub 2018 Apr 26. PMID: 29698575.

Zerkel, E. 2024. CNN article: A plant that’s everywhere is fueling a growing risk of wildfire disaster. Accessed at:
https://www.cnn.com/2024/03/21/climate/wildfire-grass-risk-west-us/index.html#:~:text=Over%20the%20last%20three%20decades,racing%20through%20grass%20and%20shrubs.

Female Hairy woodpecker in the Pomeroy post-fire logging sale (Umatilla NF)
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